Market Perspective for February 29, 2020

It was a very difficult week for the market, due to concerns of coronavirus on global markets. While the Nasdaq finished up 0.01 percent on Friday, it still fell 10.49 percent on the week.  The S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 11.47 and 12.34 percent, respectively, over the past 5 days.

This week’s volatility highlights the benefits of diversification. Bonds were stable in the face of falling stock prices. Fidelity Corporate Bond (FCOR) gained 0.14 percent. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond (HYG) fell just 2.59 percent. Some subsectors were strong performers. iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (IBB) outperformed the market with a decline of only 7.23 percent.

Often during selloffs, investors are tempted to make rushed and emotional decisions regarding their positions.  It is very important to stick to your long-term plan. Far too often, people sell at or near the bottom, while not reinvesting during a subsequent rebound. Doing so can significantly impact both the short-term and long-term portfolio performance. We do not recommend timing the market.  The best option is to remain patient and consult with your financial adviser.

While it was not widely reported, economic data remains solid. New home sales were far higher than expected at an annualized pace of 764,000 for January, above analyst forecasts of 722,000. Pending home sales in January also increased.

Consumer confidence increased in January according to both the Conference Board and University of Michigan surveys. The Chicago PMI for February increased from January. All indicators point to a strengthening economy.

The coronavirus was the obvious reason for the dramatic decline, but investors panicked reaction doesn’t reflect the reality. China’s economy is already coming back online. Apple (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook said factories in China are open and production is rising by the day. Look for those gains to extend into next week’s trading.

 

Market Perspective for February 24, 2020

Equities pulled back after further reports of coronavirus. The S&P 500 Index fell 3.35 percent. One Fed official called for an intermeeting rate cut to support the stock market and economy. The market rallied midday on this news, trimming some of the losses from the open. A number of central banks and finance ministers, including in China and the USA, have also called for supportive action if necessary.

The Case-Shiller home price index for December will be released tomorrow, along with the FHFA home price index. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index for February is out as well. Analysts expect it will rise to 132.5, up from 131.6 in January.

January new home sales will be released on Wednesday. Economist predict an annualized pace of 721,000, up sharply from the prior month’s 694,000. Pending home sales are out the following day.
The second estimate of fourth quarter GDP come on Thursday. Growth was 2.1 percent in the initial estimate and economists expect that will hold.

Friday brings the Chicago PMI and the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey, both for February. Regional Fed PMIs have been surprisingly strong over the past couple of weeks.

HP Inc (HPQ) kicked off this week’s earnings news with a strong report. Shares climbed more than 5 percent in initial after-hours trading.

Tuesday will see earnings reports from Virgin Galactic (SPCE), Salesforce.com (CRM), Home Depot (HD), American Tower (AMT), Public Storage (PSA), Macy’s (M) and Cheniere (LNG).
Wednesday brings Booking Holdings (BKNG), Square (SQ), Crown Castle International (CCI), Lowes (LOW), L Brands (LB), The TJX Companies (TJX), BioMarin Pharmaceuticals (BMRN) and Marriot (MAR).

Beyond Meat (BYND), Workday (WDAY), Trade Desk (TTD), Baidu (BIDU), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Autodesk (ADSK), Best Buy (BBY), Monster Beverage (MNST) and VMware (VMW) report on Thursday.

The week closes out with Wayfair (W), Foot Locker (FL) and AES Corp (AES).

The ETF Investor Guide for February 2020

The February Issue of the ETF Investor Guide is AVAILABLE NOW! Links to the February Data Files have been posted below. Market Perspective: We Remain in a Bull Market The […]