ETF & Mutual Fund Watchlist for March 28, 2018

Index Internet and social media stocks pulled the Nasdaq lower over the past week.

Market neutral and short-term bond funds have held up well. Vanguard Market Neutral (VMNFX) gained 1.54 percent in the 10 days through March 27. Calamos Market Neutral (CVSIX) saw a small decline, and Thompson Bond (THOPX) rose 0.26 percent.

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Dividend funds have benefited from lower interest rates and strength in defensive sectors. iShares Edge USA Min Vol (USMV) has also outperformed the market by a substantial margin over the past several days.

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Falling interest rates have lifted utilities, real estate, and consumer staples this week. This also reflects concentrated selling in technology as investors rotated from growth to value.

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Dividend-paying technology stocks such as Microsoft (MSFT) have outperformed this week, while social media and Internet stocks have underperformed as Facebook’s (FB) troubles continued to mount. A decision by Uber and Nvidia (NVDA) to halt driverless car tests also sent shares lower. Tesla’s (TSLA) bonds tumbled after Moody’s downgraded them as well.

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The 10-year yield is headed for a test of support at 2.6 percent. Falling yields lifted most bond funds, although high-yield bonds slipped as the credit spread rose to a one-month high.

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Energy shares held up well this week. West Texas Intermediate crude hit a new intraday 2018 high over the past week. First- quarter energy earnings should be strong given oil prices.

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The U.S. Dollar Index was volatile this week. The dollar triple bottomed this week, but it needs to climb above 90.5 to signal at least a short-term bullish breakout.

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Foreign shares outperformed, led by strength in Japanese shares. The yen was the weakest major currency on the week, while emerging-markets currencies were flat.

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Gold declined in the face of a stronger U.S. dollar.

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