The first full trading week of December was eventful. On Monday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was released and came in at 48.2, which was lower than expected and was also lower than last month’s figure of 48.7. This implies that the manufacturing sector in the United States is in a period of contraction, which continues a narrative that has lasted for several years now.
The ISM Services PMI came out on Wednesday and found that services demand was still strong. For the past month, the PMI was at 52.6, which was higher than the projected 52 and slightly higher than last month’s 52.4.
Also on Wednesday, the ADP version of the nonfarm payroll report came out and found that the economy lost 32,000 jobs in November. Analysts believed that the economy had added 5,000 jobs prior to the report. The November figure represented a sharp decline from October’s gain of 47,000 jobs.
On Thursday, unemployment claim data for the last seven days was made public. It was revealed that 191,000 people requested benefits over the period. This was the lowest number in three years, and economists are puzzled as to how jobless claims are down during a period of slower hiring.
On Friday, it was announced the Core PCE Price Index was up 0.2 percent, which was in line with expectations. Furthermore, the University of Michigan released their inflation expectation and consumer sentiment reports. Consumer sentiment came in at 53.3, which was a slight increase from last month’s 51 while respondents believe that inflation will be at 4.1 percent a year from now.
The S&P 500 was up 0.88 percent this week to close at 6,870 on Friday. This was an increase of about 60 points from the start of trading on Monday. For the week, the index made a low of 6,806 on Tuesday and a high of 6,894 on Thursday.
The Dow was up 1.07 percent this week to close at 47,954, which was an increase of just over 500 points since the start of trading on Monday. For the week, the index made a low of 47,292 on Tuesday and a high of 48,091 on Thursday.
Finally, the Nasdaq was up 1.76 percent over the last five trading days to close the week at 25,692. This was an increase of just over 440 points since the start of trading Monday. For the week, the index made a low of 25,220 early Monday morning and a high of 25,809 on Friday morning.
In international news, Australia announced Tuesday evening that its gross domestic product grew by 0.4 percent over the last quarter. Switzerland announced early Wednesday morning that inflation fell by 0.2 percent over the last month compared to an expected drop of 0.1 percent. On Friday, Canada announced that its economy added 53,600 jobs and that its unemployment rate dropped to 6.5 percent.
The upcoming week will be an interesting one as several important news releases are on the calendar. On Tuesday, the JOLTS figures from September, October and November are scheduled to be made public. On Wednesday, the Fed will make its December rate decision, and it’s expected that the main rate will fall to 3.75 percent from 4 percent. Unemployment claims data will be released Thursday to round out the weekly schedule.




